Which will likely die first?

16,417 votes Submit product

Most likely to die

Name	Elo
Copy.ai	1328
Todoist	1278
OpenSea	1270
Truth Social	1249
Notability	1244

Most likely to survive

Name	Elo
IKEA	663
TSMC	678
McDonald's	683
AMD	697
YouTube	709

	Name	Elo	Confidence	Votes	Death %	Description
110	SS Safe Superintelligence	1111	97%	48	65%	AI lab co-founded by Ilya Sutskever focused on building safe superintelligence.
554	TikTok	789	97%	48	19%	Short-form video and creator platform
556	United States Department of War	788	97%	48	27%	United States government department responsible for military operations defense policy and armed forces administration.
290	Wayfair	1014	97%	48	50%	Home goods ecommerce product
376	Weee!	953	97%	48	46%	Online grocery marketplace for Asian and Hispanic food delivery.
365	AgiBot	962	97%	47	47%	Robotics company building general-purpose humanoid robots and embodied AI systems.
464	Agility Robotics	891	97%	47	36%	Humanoid robotics company building Digit for warehouse logistics and industrial automation.
455	Anduril	895	97%	47	30%	Defense technology company building autonomous systems sensors drones and command software.
210	Behance	1052	97%	47	55%	Creative portfolio and discovery platform
514	C++	840	97%	47	28%	Programming language created by Bjarne Stroustrup for systems software game engines and high-performance applications.
23	DocSend	1195	97%	47	70%	Document sharing product with access controls viewer analytics and secure deal-room workflows.
559	Instagram	781	97%	47	23%	Photo video and creator social platform
43	LaunchDarkly	1171	97%	47	66%	Feature management platform for flags releases experiments and product analytics.
227	LessWrong	1043	97%	47	53%	Online forum and essay community for rationality AI alignment and technical discussion.
119	Postman	1104	97%	47	66%	API development platform for building testing documenting and collaborating on APIs.
30	Retool	1185	97%	47	77%	Internal tool builder for business applications
403	Tencent	935	97%	47	47%	Internet technology company behind messaging gaming payments cloud media and AI services.
420	Vimeo	924	97%	47	45%	Video hosting creation and sharing platform for creators teams and businesses.
16	Webflow	1203	97%	47	77%	Visual website builder and CMS
116	Anyscale	1107	96%	46	59%	AI compute platform for developing scaling and serving machine learning workloads.
487	Auth0	869	96%	46	35%	Authentication and authorization platform
215	Bitdefender	1049	96%	46	54%	Cybersecurity software for endpoint protection threat detection antivirus and online privacy.
337	Brex	980	96%	46	48%	Corporate card and spend management platform
375	Chime	954	96%	46	46%	Consumer banking app
465	Commonwealth Fusion Systems	890	96%	46	35%	Fusion energy company developing high-field magnets SPARC and ARC power plant technology.
192	Daytona	1064	96%	46	57%	Secure infrastructure product for running AI-generated code and development environments.
246	Eventbrite	1032	96%	46	54%	Event discovery and ticketing platform
567	Google Maps	735	96%	46	17%	Maps navigation and local discovery product
51	Klaviyo	1160	96%	46	65%	Marketing automation platform for ecommerce
333	Oatly	983	96%	46	48%	Oat milk and plant-based food brand with ecommerce product information recipes and store discovery.
415	Obsidian	929	96%	46	41%	Personal knowledge base and note-taking app
202	Sketch	1058	96%	46	61%	Design product for interface design prototyping collaboration and developer handoff.
531	Tor Browser	818	96%	46	26%	Privacy browser for routing web traffic through the Tor network and reducing tracking.
231	Whatnot	1042	96%	46	52%	Livestream shopping marketplace for collectibles fashion and other consumer goods.
182	Zendesk	1069	96%	46	61%	Customer service and support software
419	Burning Man	925	96%	45	40%	Event and community organization for Black Rock City tickets camps art projects and culture.
548	Cerebras	799	96%	45	27%	AI chip and systems company building wafer-scale processors and inference cloud services.
44	Factory (AI)	1169	96%	45	67%	AI software engineering platform for enterprise coding agents codebase work and development automation.
42	Framer	1171	96%	45	71%	No-code website design and publishing platform
57	Lucidchart	1149	96%	45	69%	Diagramming and visual collaboration software
551	Sequoia Capital	793	96%	45	24%	Venture capital firm backing technology startups from seed through growth stages.
314	Tableau	999	96%	45	53%	Data visualization and business intelligence software for dashboards reports and analytics.
524	Uber	826	96%	45	22%	Consumer ride-hailing and mobility app
573	YouTube	709	96%	45	13%	Consumer video platform for entertainment and learning
397	Founders Fund	938	96%	44	41%	Venture capital firm investing in technology startups across defense AI space fintech and consumer products.
276	Headspace	1021	96%	44	57%	Meditation and mental wellness app
151	Mixpanel	1085	96%	44	57%	Product analytics platform
562	PyTorch	760	96%	44	20%	Open-source machine learning framework for deep learning research and production AI systems.
66	Speak	1138	96%	44	73%	AI language tutor app for practicing conversation and pronunciation.
7	VEED	1228	96%	44	77%	Browser-based video editing product for captions social clips and AI-assisted media workflows.
547	WhatsApp	801	96%	44	18%	Consumer messaging app
52	DramaBox	1159	96%	43	65%	Short drama streaming app for vertical serialized episodes and mobile binge watching.
5	Notability	1244	96%	43	84%	Note-taking and PDF annotation app
132	Rakuten	1096	96%	43	58%	Cashback and shopping rewards platform
308	Render	1004	96%	43	53%	Cloud application hosting platform for web services static sites and databases.
454	Replicate	896	96%	43	37%	Platform for running and deploying open AI models through APIs.
104	Segment	1113	96%	43	63%	Customer data platform for collecting routing and managing event data across tools.
477	Snowflake	880	96%	43	37%	Cloud data platform for data warehousing analytics app development sharing and AI workloads.
469	Square	887	96%	43	33%	Payments and business software product for point of sale invoices payroll appointments and commerce operations.
380	CoreWeave	951	96%	42	45%	Cloud infrastructure company providing GPU compute for AI training inference rendering and workloads.
41	Greenhouse	1171	96%	42	69%	Applicant tracking and recruiting platform
572	iPhone	711	96%	42	7%	Apple smartphone product for mobile apps photography messaging payments and personal computing.
378	DocuSign	952	95%	41	44%	Electronic signature and agreement platform
89	Xero	1122	95%	41	66%	Cloud accounting software for small businesses
305	23andMe	1007	95%	40	45%	Consumer genetics product for DNA testing ancestry reports health traits and personal genetic data.
395	Etsy	940	95%	40	45%	Marketplace for handmade vintage and creative goods
306	Exa	1007	95%	40	57%	AI search API and web retrieval product for developers building AI applications.
12	HackerRank	1213	95%	40	82%	Coding practice and technical assessment platform
256	Mercury (bank)	1028	95%	40	48%	Business banking product for startups with accounts cards payments treasury and finance workflows.
317	Procreate	994	95%	40	52%	Digital illustration and painting app for iPad artists.
4	Truth Social	1249	95%	40	75%	Social media platform from Trump Media for posting following news commentary and political communities.
148	Midjourney	1085	95%	39	59%	AI image generation product
385	Sakana AI	947	95%	39	44%	AI research company in Tokyo building foundation models model merging and automated AI scientist systems.
513	Starlink	841	94%	36	19%	Satellite internet service from SpaceX for consumer business aviation maritime and remote connectivity.
388	Serve Robotics	946	94%	35	40%	Autonomous sidewalk delivery robot company for food and local commerce logistics.
406	NeurIPS	933	93%	32	34%	Machine learning conference website for papers workshops schedules proceedings and AI research community events.
284	K KilledByGPT	1017	93%	30	53%	Public voting app for ranking which recognizable products are most likely to be killed by AI.